Why It Pays to Ignore Financial News Print
Tuesday, 10th June 2008 (by J.D.)This article is about Investing, News, Psychology
Financial news can be dangerous to the health of your investment portfolio.
I spent some time yesterday reading recent articles about the stock market. What I found was mostly hysterical hype (“Gasp! Dow Jones Industrials tumble 400 points!”). All the financial stories seemed to be written as if our investment horizons were days, not years. No wonder people panic when the stock market hits a rocky patch. But do daily market movements — even 400 point drops — really matter? How important is up-to-date financial news to the average investor?
Turn it on, but tune it out
The May 2008 issue of the AAII Journal includes an article entitled “The Stock Market and the Media: Turn It On, But Tune It Out” in which author Dick Davis argues that daily market movement is often illogical. Except for obvious catalysts — military coups, natural disasters — nobody knows what makes the market move on any given day. Short-term changes appear random. Besides, they aren’t really relevant if you have a long-term investment horizon (which is probably the case for most GRS readers).
To the long-term investor, daily market movements are mostly noise and filler. “What’s important is repetition or the lack of it,” Davis writes. A trendline is more useful than a datapoint.
I believe one of the worst things that can happen to a long-term investor is to be instantly and totally informed about his stock. In most cases, spot news fades into irrelevance over time…Big market moves may be inexplicable, but a long-term or dollar-cost averaging approach precludes the need for explanations.
You can watch the daily investment news, but don’t let it sway your decisions. “Focus on the long term,” Davis writes, “and you can ignore the media’s distortions.”
No news is good news
Davis isn’t the only one to believe that no news is good news. Research backs him up. In Why Smart People Make Big Money Mistakes (and How to Correct Them), the authors cite a Harvard study of investment habits. The results?
Investors who received no news performed better than those who received a constant stream of information, good or bad. In fact, among investors who were trading [a volatile stock], those who remained in the dark earned more than twice as much money as those whose trades were influenced by the media.
Though it may seem reckless to ignore financial news, the book argues that it’s not. “Long-term investors need not concern themselves with yesterday’s closing price or tomorrow’s quarterly earnings reports.” Make your decisions based on your personal financial goals and a pre-determined investment strategy, not on whether the market jumped or dropped yesterday.
For more on this subject, check out:
- Smart Money: Traders profit best by ignoring most financial news
- Free Money Finance: Ignore daily financial noise
The daily fluctuations of the stock market are especially meaningless to me. I’m still learning the basics of saving and investing. I get more from reading the words of Warren Buffett or devouring books like The Four Pillars of Investing than I do from watching talking heads speculate on why Apple’s stock price fell.

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June 10th, 2008 at 9:36 am
As always, I think there is a happy medium here. You should definitely stick to your investment objectives, but if part of your investment goals include a portfolio of relatively stable blue-chip stocks that pay dividends, if one of those stocks cancels its dividend you will want to know about it.
However, I agree with the thesis of your article that following the daily +3% -> -4% -> +1% daily random walk will only help a long-term investor lose his or her hair.
June 10th, 2008 at 9:50 am
Great timing on this post. I am “long” several stocks that are down today, on incredibly light volume, and I’ve learned to ignore the media during certain time periods (especially the summer when volumes are low, and the big traders are absent). I have definitely allowed mainstream media to influence certain trades that I later regretted. I’ve also read a few books by an internationally exposed money manager, Louis-Vincent Gave, that should be of interest to your readers. Here is a free podcast interview from Sept 2007, showing his handle on the world economy and the changes we are all experiencing….
http://www.netcastdaily.com/broadcast/fsn2007-0915-2.mp3
June 10th, 2008 at 9:57 am
I don’t follow financial news. I could care less if the Dow is up or down today, because I don’t chase the market. And while I’ll read financial news, I never rely on it. As for those financial news shows like Cramer, I won’t watch them. To me, they’re just entertainment. When I’m trading or investing my own money, I prefer to do my own extensive research. This way, I’m totally responsible for my choices and I’m not swayed by anyone else.
Bill
June 10th, 2008 at 10:00 am
I do monitor the market daily, at least for the individual stocks that I own. Day to day, nothing changes about their fundamentals, so if the market dives and takes them with it, its a clear signal to me to buy on the cheap.
Other than that, which rarely happens, I ignore the day to day randomness.
June 10th, 2008 at 10:00 am
You’re right (within limits, IMHO) that when investing in the market you should avoid obsessing about financial “news,” most of which is not news but hype.
On the other hand: when oil went up $11 a barrel, with more rises coming our way, I made up my mind not to move forward with a contingency offer on a house I wanted to buy. The transaction would have required taking on a $95,000 mortgage (up from th $0.00 owed on my present castle). That news definitely set off the “don’t take on debt” alarm. I don’t think this is the time to assume any debt of any description, even so-called “good” debt.
The rise of fuel prices–and the likelihood that they never will come back down into the affordable range–heralds long-term damage to the U.S. and the world economies. There’s too much chance that today’s recession will morph into tomorrow’s depression to justify taking on new debt.
So, while you absolutely should not jump off the cliff over short-term changes, I do think that some degree of financial conservatism (such as restraining yourself from making a costly move) in response to consistent negative reporting is appropriate.
June 10th, 2008 at 10:15 am
I disagree, Funny About Money. If you can swing it, and you have a good interest rate, now is the time to buy. Your money will be worth less tomorrow. Likewise, your debt will be worth less tomorrow as well.
June 10th, 2008 at 10:18 am
I agree with Wayward here too. There’s very little chance of the recession turning into a depression (5-10%?) as most of the bad information is now out there, and its currently shaking down through the system. Often times by the time the media declares a recession, the economy, in actuality, is already climbing out of it.
Don’t buy into the media hype. They often lag behind whats actually happening.
June 10th, 2008 at 10:18 am
J.D.,
I really enjoyed this article and I am sick of hearing about all the news as well. What will a stock market drop or raising gas prices do to me? Probably nothing because there is not much that I have left to change (I drive a small car). I personally am sick of reading about it and agree that I would rather ignore it overall than see how much $$ I am losing.
June 10th, 2008 at 10:33 am
JerichoHill wrote: Don’t buy into the media hype. They often lag behind whats actually happening.
I was very amused by this month’s issue of Kiplinger’s (which I would fetch for accuracy if a sick cat were not in my lap). It has an article about “what to do to prepare for the coming turnaround”. Now maybe this is smart and responsible, but you have to know that this article was written in mid-April, right? It’s like they’re crossing their fingers that there’ll be signs of a turnaround by the time the story is in the hands of readers. They were trying to thwart the inevitable media lag.
June 10th, 2008 at 10:42 am
@ Funny about Money,
I think it is wise to acknowledge your intuition in regards to acquiring new debt. Even if we, as a nation, don’t go into an extended recession, this doesn’t mitigate the financial hardships that can arise due to life. Listen to it!
June 10th, 2008 at 10:59 am
I remember my dad telling me to get out of the stock market right after 9/11 when it tanked. And I know a lot of people who did just that!
My dad said it would never go over 10,000 again in my lifetime. And he wonders why I never listen to his financial advice.
I tune it (stock market fluctuations, media hype, etc) all out. if I didn’t I’d have an ulcer by now.
June 10th, 2008 at 11:37 am
This advice cannot be repeated enough.
The media sensationalizes market fluctuations to bring in viewers, it pays not follow it.
June 10th, 2008 at 11:45 am
Haven’t read the book, so I’m not sure exactly what the issue is.. But, I’d say that if you stayed in financials over the last few months and ignored the **NEWS**, you’d be in a world of hurt. Having said that, you have to interpret the news, not just blindly follow it. In fact, I dumped all my financials early on. That was based on useful news. I also made $250 in one hour after American Airlines grounded 1/3 of its fleet and the stock tumbled 10% the night before. That’s because the news was silly. As much as I would not own stock in any airline, it was clear that the news reflected a panic and would not affect the company itself in the long run. Paid for breakfast!!
Thx jegan
June 10th, 2008 at 12:04 pm
This is a great example of why the 24-hour news services (especially those like CNBC and Bloomberg) have become a blessing and curse. While it’s nice to have real time information at our fingertips, sometimes that information leads to a knee-jerk reaction, which is usually unhealthy for portfolio. Best advice? Tune out as much noise as possible, keep your head down, and keep plowing money into savings and investments that you truly understand.
June 10th, 2008 at 12:04 pm
I’m kind of worn out by all the doom and gloom news. I do follow the market (stock and local real estate) to help me stay informed. I want to know when to buy a stock (one that I’ve already researched and like) or when to challange a tax assessment, etc.
Mr. Sam and I get a kick out of Ali Belshi the financial guy on cnn.com early in the AM. We take bets on what bad news he is going to deliver each day.
June 10th, 2008 at 1:14 pm
I don’t follow any financial news. I can’t be the only person interested in personal finance who finds it deeply boring.
To be honest, I think you’re better off not following any news daily. I pick up a broadsheet every once in a while, and get basic headlines from the radio when I get up (music station) but that’s about it. Nothing much seems to happen anyway.
June 10th, 2008 at 2:20 pm
The quickest way to lose money is to react to the market. You will always be a step behind. You need to formulate a plan and stick to your plan. That being said, sometimes you need to make SMALL corrections to your plan. These shouldn’t be drastic moves however, as anything drastic is just asking for disaster.
June 10th, 2008 at 2:27 pm
I’m planning on getting into the market with a little money sometime in the near future and it is a relief to know that I won’t have to sit down and watch Mad Money and try to figure out what the heck that guy is talking about. It could be Latin for all I understand of it.
June 10th, 2008 at 4:42 pm
I watch the financial news and follow the indices daily. It’s sort of a curiosity more so than something that’s going to alter my plan. It can be good for keeping up with trends or being exposed to new investment options. I have my plan and I stick to it.
I monitor my new investments more frequently than I do my older ones. I started a Roth IRA in February and I check it daily just to see how my investment choices are performing. When I start new investments, I like to get a feel for how they perform during various events and incidents and cycles. When it matures like my 457, which I have had for 20 years, I’ll check it monthly to see if it needs adjustment or rebalancing. I think it takes time to gain confidence in your investment choices, and that might mean monitoring it closely for some period of time. While I don’t advocate jumping from fund to fund chasing yield or the previous quarter’s performance, there does come a time when a fund’s performance is a drag on your portfolio and it has to be changed. I learned (the hard way
)from the tech boom/wreck to CHECK investments periodically, REBALANCE at least once a year, PROFIT TAKE on occasion, and not to be a captain who goes down with his boat thinking that it will right itself. Maybe that’s not a recipe to maximize the investment, but I would rather walk away with half a loaf than to watch the whole thing go down the tubes… AGAIN!
June 10th, 2008 at 4:50 pm
As someone who is contributing to my 401k on a bi-weekly basis, this isn’t the case for me at all. I enjoy a good down turn in the market, especially on the day my funds are invested. With a tough stock market now, I’m considering raising my contribution from 15% to 24%. (It’s too bad my boss knows how much I’m contributing - he may think he’s paying me too much!). Of course, I don’t have cable TV, maybe that says something.
June 10th, 2008 at 6:33 pm
I think it depends on your investment timeline and how you plan on investing.
This is my strategy:
I have a 20 year investment “plan”…so, daily fluctuations should not come into play much.
1. I invest in only “established” companies. Not necessarily the Official “blue chips”, but companies that are not likely to go bankrupt anytime soon…leaders of their sector so to speak.
2. I invest in 10 stocks, and invest on a quarterly basis. This ensures catching dips and dollar cost averaging.
The 10 different stocks ensures diversity, and the quarterly investing structure takes my emotion right out of it, which I think is a HUGE key.
Anyways, that’s my strategy, and it seems to work.
If, however, you are investing one big chunk of money just ONCE, then yes, keeping a periodic tab on how it’s going is crucial, especially if your investment horizon is less than five years!!
June 10th, 2008 at 7:43 pm
I watch what the stock markets do..and whenever the Dow or S&P drops like a hot rock, I smile. Just means that I can buy more for cheap…
I’ve got 42 years to go…
June 10th, 2008 at 10:57 pm
It’s hard to stand back and do nothing sometimes, but smart investing is patience and an aversion to making sharp moves on short notice. For example, Tazer just lost their first lawsuit pertaining to a police-caused fatality, after a long list of victories in lawsuits on similar fact profiles. Their stock plummeted and is at a 52-week low. The probability that the ruling will get overturned on appeal is incredibly strong — there is ample precedent in the firearms industry and Tazer’s own posture has always been that they make a LESS lethal, not NON-lethal, sidearm. As in, “someone might die sometimes, but that’s better than them dying nearly 100% of the time because the cop just uses his gun instead.” An upheld ruling could allow crackheads shot by the police to successfully sue Glock and recover, for example, among other potential consequences, and the courts are usually loathe to open the door to such a litigation scenario. Knowing an overturn is very probable, it is incredibly tempting to buy a LOT of Tazer stock right now, profiting nicely on the rebound. However! The court systems do surprise even the experts sometimes (such as with Kelo v. New London) and it can sometimes take decades for bad precedent to be overturned — enough time for Tazer to be sued out of existence and never recover. The “smart buy” might never profit out, due to the sheer inertia of the situation. What to do? Hard to say.
June 11th, 2008 at 7:12 am
Plunges are reason to celebrate, not panic! When I heard about the Dow plummeting yesterday, I was kicking myself for not having more cash available quickly to buy. I don’t try to time the market–I know that’s fruitless–but I also don’t ignore an opportunity when I trip over it.
June 11th, 2008 at 11:35 am
It’s important to keep in mind that the media is in the business of selling us the news. In order to do that they have to sensationalize the facts or else we wouldn’t be that interested. It is improtant to be informed, but take out the emotions of investing.
June 15th, 2008 at 9:11 am
I watch financial news all the time! I never act on it, but I do enjoy it. CNBC has a lot of really interesting stories about business, finance, entrepreneurship, etc.
I also love it because when big news comes out, they go crazy! They invite a thousand talking heads to talk about it, and before you know it, you’ve got a ridiculous mess!
The one time you should watch for financial news is to look for buying opportunities. If you do choose to invest in individual stocks, circle earnings release dates on your calendar. If they miss the forecasts by a cent, you can get a good bargain.
This also applies to the whole market. When people panic, it’s the perfect opportunity to jump in.
One last comment: it’s funny how if you log on to Yahoo! Finance at the end of the day, and they ALWAYS have an explanation for why the market went up/down that day. It seems like a lot of people in the financial press refuse to believe that there sometimes the market moves completely randomly.
June 16th, 2008 at 3:30 pm
I read financial news everyday. Not that I recommend it to everyone else, but if the daily volatility doesn’t bother you too much, then it’s not a big issue.
Moreover, it doesn’t stop me from learning something new everyday.
In fact, on that particular day, I took the opportunity to buy more stocks that were on the cheap. It’s climbed up to more than 3% since then. Not bad for less than a week.