This is a guest post from Robert Brokamp of The Motley Fool. Robert is a Certified Financial Planner and the advisor for The Motley Fool’s Rule Your Retirement service. He contributes one new article to Get Rich Slowly every two weeks.
One of the reasons J.D. asked me to join his merry band of GRS writers was so that I could add the occasional investing lesson to the line-up. Today, I’m going to hand that duty off very quickly to someone else, and then get to a life lesson from a great investor.
Today’s lesson comes from fund manager and former Motley Fool writer Whitney Tilson, whose Tilson Focus Fund (TILFX) has the best one-year return in Lipper’s multicap core category, according to Barron’s. In a recent interview on GuruFocus, Tilson said he began his investing career by reading all of Warren Buffett’s letters. If that sounds like good advice to you, every Berkshire Hathaway annual report since 1977 — which include Buffett’s letters — can be found at the Berkshire website. (If you have a yen to hear Buffett sing as well as read his words, check out his cameo in this GEICO video.)
The luck of the draw
But if you’d like some other kind of wisdom from Buffett, here’s a scenario that he often describes in speeches and interviews. (We’ve now moved into the “life lesson” part of this show.)
It’s 24 hours before your birth, and a genie appears to you. He tells you that you can set the rules for the world you’re about to enter — economic, social, political — the whole enchilada. Sounds great, right? What’s the catch?
Before you enter the world, you will pick one ball from a barrel of 6.8 billion (the number of people on the planet). That ball will determine your gender, race, nationality, natural abilities, and health — whether you are born rich or poor, sick or able-bodied, brilliant or below average, American or Zimbabwean.
This is what Buffett calls the ovarian lottery. As he explained to a group of University of Florida students, “You’re going to get one ball out of there, and that is the most important thing that’s ever going to happen to you in your life.”
According to the world’s third-richest man, that’s a good perspective to have when setting the rules for our world. We should be designing a society that, as Buffett says, “doesn’t leave behind someone who accidentally got the wrong ball and is not well-wired for this particular system.” He points out that he is designed for the American system — and he was lucky to be born into it. He can allocate capital, and he lives in a place and at a time when those skills are well rewarded. (His pal Bill Gates is quick to point out that if Buffett had been born in an earlier time, he’d be some animal’s lunch because the Oracle of Omaha can’t run fast or climb trees.)
When Buffett talks about this lottery, he often concludes by asking:
If you could put your ball back, and they took out, at random, a hundred other balls, and you had to pick one of those, would you put your ball back in? Now, of those hundred balls … roughly five of them will be American. … Half of them are going to be below-average intelligence, half will be above. Do you want to put your ball back? Most of you, I think, will not. … What you’re saying is, “I’m in the luckiest 1% of the world right now.”
A matter of perspective
This is a good perspective to keep in mind as we bemoan our smaller 401(k)s and shriveled home equity. Chances are, you’re not worth as much as you were a few years ago, but you’re still much, much richer than the vast majority of people in the world. We live better than most people, and even better than Americans from 20 years ago, who didn’t have the Internet, email, cell phones, iPods, GPS devices, and SpongeBob, not to mention scores of medical and pharmaceutical advances.
This is not to minimize the difficulties of the past couple of years, or to say that some Americans don’t live wretched lives due to tragedy or severe health issues. But as J.D. has written before, research indicates that gratitude is a key ingredient to happiness. If you wouldn’t be inclined to turn your ball back in for another draw at the ovarian lottery, then thank your lucky stars. I sure I do.
J.D.’s note: One of my goals for the next few weeks is to sit down and read all of Buffett’s shareholder letters. Even before Robert submitted this article, I downloaded them all, and I’m waiting to plop them on my iPad this Saturday so I can read them on my flight to Chicago. As I’ve mentioned before, Buffett is one of my financial heroes, and I admire his philosophy.
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Love my balls and would not trade them for the world
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No question that it’s a bit morally skewed to be born in an industrialized nation and go on and on about how lucky we are and therefore how happy we should be. But the world’s realities are pretty harsh. If you have a specific, sheltered place to sleep, uncontaminated drinking water available in that shelter, and a refrigerator for preserving food, then your living standard is better than 75% of the world. Add 6 years of education and you’re better off than 91% of the world.
Without question, a sense of gratitude is absolutely basic to leading a happy life. Whether we use that sense of gratitude as warm snuggly blanket or as a spur of motivation to help others will make the difference between leading a life that will make others happy or not. What historical legacy are we leaving? In the digital age, someone’s going to know more about us than we’ve known about all those who went before us.
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After living in Asia and traveling the world, I can assure you I have won the birth lottery. We have been approached by people to take their children to the US for the opportunity. We have had people ask if we would sponsor them to come to the US- they would do anything to get in and start. We had maids in both Asia and Africa with college degrees who were thrilled to be paid maid wages and treated well….
If you question Buffet’s theory, you need to travel more(and not just to the posh spots)!
It gives you a real sense what it means to be a member of the US or Canada and how very lucky that somehow our personalities made it to these shores (sorry- haven’t really lived in Europe- so I cannot judge that one).
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If you are so inclined and want to know “where” you are, copy this link and all will be revealed .
http://www.globalrichlist.com/
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Hi Robert,
nice article! who knows how many human talent is in some country where can not really develop, I’m pretty sure the new “Albert Einstein or Warren Buffett” is lost in some third world village trying to survive.
It’s a shame that with all the resources we have nowadays a big part of our still lives in extreme poverty.
http://www.growingrich.net/
Best regards,
Javier
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I agree with Jan @#53. Being an Indian woman who was born there but grew up in the UK, believe me, I lucked out moving here and am consciously grateful every day. In India everyone pities me for being single….they forget I make a good salary which I control-something 99.9% of Indian women DONT do. My mother also tells me that despite being shunned as a potential wife in my youth due to being excessively independent and wanting a CAREER, now guys are lining up. But all they want is to use me as a ticket to life in the US. Ironic, and no, I am not interested in any of them.
I might ask for another draw of the lottery but only if it was to live here.
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Great focus on gratitude. Too often we focus on the negative aspects of life, which in turn shows up in our results of life. When we focus on the good we have, we pay more attention to the opportunities that surround us every day. Thanks for a great post!
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@#19 – that is plainly true – a lot depends on what you do with what you’re born with/given. However, I know people who were born into very good (financial) circumstances and have made nothing of themselves, but because of those good circumstances, can get away with it. Those same character traits of a person born into lesser circumstances can lead to jail.
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I’d never know Buffett was such a philosopher. I feel more worldly and learned already.
I wonder if Buffett would be as revered as he is if instead of making billions by investing and making money grow, he had tought the world governments tips on budgeting and made the massive debt shrink.
Some food for thought.
Cheers
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The U.S. economy is scary at the moment. I worry about losing my job, and my wife hers; and we hope we keep one. A few weeks ago, I heard the story of a Haitian “microbusiness” entrepreneur on the Planet Money podcast. Basically, a wholesaler of sundry goods she could carry in a basket. The interview made the point that her handling of cash flow and debt was quite sophisticated. I was impressed by her resourcefulness. Similarly, this post reminds me of the opportunity in the U.S. economy even while hard-luck stories fill the news.
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I found Buffett’s comments on our luck in getting the ball we got (American) very interesting.
Just to add a little humor to the topic:
http://www.thedailyshow.com/watch/thu-september-14-2006/john-oliver-s-journey–don-t-stop-believing
Don’t stop believing!
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What Buffett calls “the ovarian lottery” is a direct ripoff of Rawls “veil of ignorance”. Did Buffett steal this without even a reference to Rawls?
Also, I don’t see what gratitude has to do with you being born into a rich society. Gratitude to whom???
I am glad that I was not born in Zimbabwe but I have nobody to thank for this random event, and I don’t see why I should be satisfied with not being among the poorest people in the world. That attitude does not promote further development.
Instead I aim to get ahead while doing my tiny little part for the world’s poor, by promoting capitalism and freedom in the world.
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The 100 ball choice comes across as “If you had the option to pick between 100 alternate lives, and then kill yourself, would you?”
Without continuity of consciousness and memory, it’s effectively asking you if you are suicidal. With continuity of consciousness and memory, it’s the abandonment of everyone you care about, plus the effective murder of someone else.
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Bill Gates’s comment is amusing, but I find it more interesting that as recently as about three hundred years ago, Buffett’s skills would have gone unvalued, and five or six hundred years ago they would’ve actually been considered unnatural and sinful.
Even more disturbing, I think, are the skills that’ve dropped out of favor in our time. Before the 19th century, it was possible to make a sensible, respectable wage as a musician working for a nobleman, church, or university. Nowadays, going into music is likely to make you a career waiter. It really disturbs me that, somewhere out there, there could be another J.S. Bach working as a doctor or lawyer because music isn’t a safe enough career prospect.
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Ovarian Lottery is a true concept. It is the biggest lottery in Life- In which family and in which country you are born?
I am born in India in a middle class family. Add to it my elder brother and father has a mood swing and impulsive issues.
It is a struggle. India is one of the most horrible countries in the world with bomb blast, traffic, pollution, population etc.
Now India is growing at 8%-9% p.a and hence some optimism in the country prevails.
I wish i was born in UK/US/Canada/Australia/New Zealand/Developed Europe. I am smart,talented, educated but as i dont have any car, i have to travel in worlds most dirty buses in India.
My friends who are born in Industrialist, business families are enjoying their life because they dont have to find any job.
I will work very hard in my profession, i will migrate to middle east for better savings and will rise in my career and life. Marriage and having kids thus increasing population is out of question.
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Can someone help me on the math?
A one in twenty chance being born in US.
A one in two chance being above average intelligence.
That comes out to 2 1/2%, not a 1% chance according to my math.
But of course you’re probably laughing as you’re reading, “this guy must be in the below intelligence category”:>)
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