Matthew Clinger wrote:
DoingHomework, you post no proof as to saying value investing is riskier. It is safer.
I offer you the Capital Asset Pricing Model. There are thousands of papers about it from both academics and Wall Street practitioners. Please visit your nearest research library. In a sense you are correct, value stocks have historically performed better, but they are also higher risk.
Matthew Clinger wrote:
The book covers more than 40 years worth of market data! You say that "value investing has historically returned a little bit better than the overall market"
Personally I would not trust anything that goes back less than 100 years. Yes, the CAPM completely explains the excess returns of value stocks. Bernstein explains it in "The Intelligent Investor" which is widely recommended on these forums. Said another way, all the excess returns of value stocks is explained by the additional risk. In this case "risk" is quantified by objective measures like standard deviation.
Matthew Clinger wrote:
I'm not going to simply post my whole process on the net. The process is somewhat easy to duplicate if you have all the information. You want a private viewing over the net? We might set something up with that if you really want to.
I'm not asking you to post your process. I'm suggesting that if you think it works then show us evidence. Give us a portfolio that will gain more than the market index by May 7, 2013 and November 7, 2013. If you are right, we'll give you a pat on the back and you'll have a record to point to.
On the other hand, if your system just takes buying a $30 book and applying what it says, how much value can you possibly be offering?