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In an earlier entry about the cost of waiting one year to begin investing for retirement, I posted a chart from AllFinancialMatters that demonstrated the power of compound returns. Vintek posted a math exercise related to the subject.
I got this from a book called The Random Walk Guide to Investing by Burton Malkiel. It’s a book I recommend, and I’ll eventually talk about it in the forum. Here’s the exercise:
William and James are twin brothers who are 65 years old. 45 years ago (at the end of the year when he reached 20), William started an IRA and put $2K in the account at the end of each year. After 20 years of contributions, William stopped making new deposits but left the accumulated contributions in the IRA fund. The fund produced returns of 10% per year tax-free. James started his own IRA when he reached the age of 40 (just after William quit) and contributed $2K per year for 25 years, making his last contribution today. James invested 25% more money in total than William. James also earned 10% on his investments tax-free. What are the values of William’s and James’s IRA funds today?
Vintek sent along the answer in a spreadsheet. It’s eye-opening.
William has $1,365,227. James has $218,364. James invested 25% more than William, but through the magic of compounded returns, William’s IRA fund is worth more than six times as much! For some real fun, download the spreadsheet and plug in your own numbers. I’m having to contribute $5,000/year because I didn’t start in time. How about you?
(Note that the 10% assumption used in the charts and in the spreadsheet is arbitrary and for illustrative purposes only. An 8% return-on-investment is more realistic over the long term, and interest rates on CDs are half that. Still, the same principle applies regardless the rate, as long as the rates are consistent between sample cases.)
You twenty-somethings: I know that retirement seems a long way off, and you probably wish I would write about how to save money on mortgages or how to use coupons at the grocery store. But this is important. Force yourself to save for retirement. It may hurt, but it’s not going to hurt for long. And when you’re old like I am, you’ll be glad you made the decision. If you will just invest $2000/year for twenty years starting at age 20, you’ll set yourself up for life!
A commenter at AllFinancialMatters writes:
Don’t ever try to convince yourself that you can make up for not saving for a few years by saving later. It will snowball. You’ll establish a lifestyle that depends on too much of your income to ever make up for lost time. But if you didn’t save enough last year, resolve to find the extra money somewhere this year to make up for the lost time. When you are in your 40s like me and looking back, you won’t have regrets about your retirement savings.
Amen.
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May 23rd, 2006 at 4:07 pm
Remember though, that compound interest works for interest-bearing investments only. Compound returns for investments that have the opportunity to deliver negative returns can negate the effects of compounding.
So theoretically, if I started 10 years earlier and I get into a bad mutual fund for 5 of those years and somebody goes and earns solid 6, 8% annually but started 10 years late. It won’t be the same results!
I blogged about it at my blog, Investorial.
May 23rd, 2006 at 4:40 pm
In general the principle still applies. Markets do fluctuate, but regular investments (dollar-cost averaging) compensate for these ups-and-downs and help you obtain consistent grownth. Scheduled investments over the long haul pay off. They don’t actually earn you compound interest, but the principle still applies.
May 23rd, 2006 at 7:56 pm
I agree that the principle of compounding still applies. Although negative returns can and do occur (we had some really bad years 2000-2002 and we just had a couple of really bad weeks), the average return on blue chip stocks runs about 11% (1926-2001) and about 12.4% for small caps.
Another tidbit, when the NYSE celebrated its 200th birthday in 1992, it could report that a person who bought shares in a all of the companies on the exchange on *any* day in its history would have beaten bonds and savings account over virtually any period exceeding 20 years. What does this mean? That if you purchase an index fund covering the total stock market, that compounding over the long term is going to pay off…big. Compounding does occur; it just isn’t in the form of interest.
July 7th, 2006 at 12:18 pm
[...] I love this advice. It demonstrates again how compound returns favor the young. If you are in high school — or college — resist the urge to party with your peers. If you can exercise the mental fortitude to save money for just a few years, you can practically guarantee comfort in your retirement. A short burst of dedication in your youth can prevent an adulthood of struggle. (Another MSN Money article outlines six steps to becoming your own boss, a sort of how-to guide for young entrepreneurs.) [...]
August 3rd, 2006 at 12:48 pm
[...] Start early. Remember that compound returns favor the young, and that it never gets easier than now. [...]
August 22nd, 2006 at 3:57 pm
[...] (3) How Compound Returns Favor The Young - http://www.getrichslowly.org/blog [...]
October 25th, 2006 at 12:43 pm
[...] My advice for Casey is this: If you have a burning passion to make these sorts of plans succeed, then pursue them with only a portion of your finances. Follow tried and true personal finance wisdom with most of your money. Take 90% of what you earn, and do the boring stuff with it: pay off debt, start an emergency fund, invest for retirement. You are so young right now, that if you would invest just $5000 each year until you’re 50, you could retire then as a millionaire. (Assuming 10% returns.) This is with almost no risk. Why try to get rich all at once? Why not ride it out? [...]
November 21st, 2006 at 8:51 am
[...] As a result, more young people are relying on their families for support, both for housing and for money. Young people are also saving less than before, which alarms me. The article quotes several people who essentially complain, “I cannot afford to save.” I used to believe this, too, but I was wrong. I’m still paying the price for being wrong. Most people can afford to save something, even if it’s just $50 a month. Remember: compound returns favor the young. [...]
December 29th, 2006 at 8:08 am
[...] I’m starting a series of pet peeves that I find in almost all personal finance blogs. One of the most amazing things you’ll read is how some small amount of money compounds at 10% over 30-40 years to some huge number. Here are just a couple of examples from some blogs that I respect quite a bit (they are both truly great writers). [...]
December 31st, 2006 at 7:38 pm
I began an IRA for my son in 1990 when he joined the army and went to Iraq($2,000 per year contributions )…later I paid the income taxes and we converted it to a Roth IRA; at that time the mutual fund IRA was valued at approx $25,000…today I added an additional $1,000…now I am up to $3,000 annual contibutions which I plan to continue indefinately. The value of the IRA is presently $78,000. He is 36 years old. I expect the value, if we continue to contribute or not, to be over $1 million by his retirement age of 67 years.
January 29th, 2007 at 11:29 am
[...] If you’re young, you probably don’t think you need to start a retirement account. You’re wrong. No matter how old you are, now is the time to begin saving for retirement. Why? Because compound returns favor the young, and in a big way! (Here’s an illustration of the cost of waiting one year.) In The Millionaire Next Door, David Bach writes: The single biggest investment mistake you can make [is] not using your [retirement] plan and not maxing it out. [...]
March 27th, 2007 at 5:01 am
[...] retirement could be one of the biggest financial mistakes you’ll ever make. Compound returns favor the young. Time is money. Invest now and your 40-year-old self will be grateful. But where do you [...]
April 3rd, 2007 at 7:41 am
[...] spring I wrote about how compound returns favor the young. Vincent, a GRS reader, contributed a simple spreadsheet with which you can explore [...]
April 10th, 2007 at 9:04 am
I’m a total klutz with Excel - could you explain how to plug in your own numbers (e.g. age of initial investment, and annual contribution), and maybe how to change the ROI to 8%? (What I’d really like is one column that shows an 8% ROI and another with 10%.)
Thanks!
May 24th, 2007 at 4:15 pm
[...] wrong. No matter how old you are, now is the time to begin saving for retirement. Why? Because compound returns favor the young, and in a big way! (Here’s an illustration of the cost of waiting one year.) In The Automatic [...]
May 24th, 2007 at 4:21 pm
[...] habit. (Ad: Buy Stocks for $4 at ShareBuilder.) Ten years from now, you’ll thank yourself. If you can find a way to invest $1000 a year for the next ten years, you can set yourself up for [...]
June 7th, 2007 at 6:21 am
[...] Thanks for visiting!You’ve heard how awesome Roth IRAs are and how starting one now can mean big bucks when you’re older. You’ve even done some research so you have a vague idea of how a Roth IRA works. Now what? [...]
June 11th, 2007 at 6:51 am
[...] invest for you and your family’s future. Know that saving money while you’re young is easier, and that the simplest way to secure your financial future is to understand and utilize retirement [...]
June 21st, 2007 at 9:02 am
[...] GRS Introduction to Roth IRAs series Part 0: How compound returns favor the young Part 1: What is a Roth IRA and why should you care? Part 2: How to start a Roth IRA (and where to [...]
July 12th, 2007 at 7:11 am
[...] GRS Introduction to Roth IRAs series Part 0: How compound returns favor the young Part 1: What is a Roth IRA and why should you care? Part 2: How to start a Roth IRA (and where to [...]
August 1st, 2007 at 5:01 am
[...] an investment account. This may sound scary, but it isn’t. It’s easy. And because of the magic of compound returns, making regular small investments now will pay off huge in twenty or thirty years. Consider [...]
August 8th, 2007 at 9:40 pm
[...] visiting!Here’s another collection of personal finance links submitted from readers like you. The power of compounding is subtle and filled with nuances. In a comment on yesterday’s daily links, Wayne wrote: One [...]
October 11th, 2007 at 12:50 pm
Nice article on Compund Interest, it pays you to start early and stay with it.
October 24th, 2007 at 2:01 pm
[...] GRS Introduction to Roth IRAs series Part 0: How compound returns favor the young Part 1: What is a Roth IRA and why should you care? Part 2: How to start a Roth IRA (and where to [...]
December 17th, 2007 at 7:45 am
[...] mean you should wait until after you graduate before you get started? I don’t think so, as it generally accepted that the sooner you start the better compound interest will treat you. Having an Individual retirement fund (IRA) can help get started and when you get a job after [...]
December 18th, 2007 at 5:00 am
[...] Start saving now, not later. Don’t worry about whether the market is high or low — just begin investing. “Trust in time rather than timing,” Malkiel writes. “The secret to getting rich slowly (but surely) is the miracle of compound interest.” [...]
January 7th, 2008 at 7:06 am
[...] You’re wrong. No matter how old you are, now is the time to begin saving for retirement. Compound returns favor the young, and in a big way! (Here’s an illustration of the cost of waiting one year.) In The Automatic [...]
January 7th, 2008 at 10:57 pm
I liked you article. My question is how do I open an compound account? Can you give me some indications on how to start? Thanks,
January 13th, 2008 at 9:31 pm
[...] is very good news for us guppies who hope to one day roll in piles of money sipping fruity drinks on the beach. (J.D. [...]
February 12th, 2008 at 2:56 am
[...] invest for you and your family’s future. Know that saving money while you’re young is easier, and that the simplest way to secure your financial future is to understand and utilize retirement [...]
April 12th, 2008 at 9:34 am
Saving money for retirement / setting up an IRA is easy. The hard part is to find investments that return 10% annually! The author tosses this figure out there as if such investments were simple and commonplace. If it were easy to find 10% annual return investments we’d be living in a world of millionaires. Only banks and credit card companies can expect that kind of return on their investment. For average Janes expect 3-4% on mutual funds maybe 6% in a good year. Most people dont have time or interest in learning about or tracking stocks. So for them, the 10% annual return is a pipe dream.
April 17th, 2008 at 7:57 am
[...] Every year you wait to begin investing in retirement you lose out on time for your money to grow. When speaking of retirement investing your greatest asset is time. If you can begin to use all the years you have between now and retirement you will almost [...]
April 17th, 2008 at 5:39 pm
[...] need to save compared to someone middle aged who is just starting to save. It’s all part of the miracle of compound interest. Here are some retirement saving [...]
April 26th, 2008 at 12:48 pm
In my roth portfolio I currently have only mutual funds. I guess the only compounding I have been experiencing for the last couple years is only from the reinvestment of dividends and capital gains.
But how do I lock in the appreciation (Interest)that I show from my mutual funds increasing in NAV….by manually selling and reinvesting myself? This is where I am unclear on the compounding effect, have I missed out on the last 4years by being only in mutual funds?…can someone please advise?